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MRPL OIL REFINING ACTIVE

MANGALORE REFINERY & PETROCHEMICALS LIMITED

Timeframe: WEEKLY CHART • Study Published: 31 Dec 2025, 01:23 PM
ENTRY PRICE
₹155
TARGET PRICE
₹185/215/250
STOPLOSS
₹135
Chart Levels & Structure
MRPL Chart Click to Zoom
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MANGALORE REFINERY & PETROCHEMICALS LIMITED (MRPL)
RESEARCH & ANALYSIS STUDY RATIONALE
Complete Detailed Analysis & Research Rationale

MANGALORE REFINERY & PETROCHEMICALS LIMITED

(NSE: MRPL)


Business:


MRPL is an ONGC group refinery with 15 MTPA refining capacity at Mangalore.


The company produces petrol, diesel, aviation turbine fuel, LPG, petrochemical feedstocks and other petroleum products, with both domestic and export markets.


Q1 FY27 Performance 📊


  • Revenue from operations ₹41,609 Cr, up 98% YoY
  • PBT ₹1,246 Cr versus ₹402 Cr loss YoY
  • PAT ₹946 Cr versus ₹271 Cr loss YoY
  • Operating profit ₹1,318 Cr, up sharply YoY
  • Throughput around 4.43 MMT versus 3.52 MMT YoY

  • The turnaround is significant, but there is an important adjustment: Q1 included around ₹472 Cr of exceptional income related to retrospective petroleum product price revisions.


    FY26 Recovery:


    FY26 was a major recovery year for MRPL.


  • Standalone PBT ₹4,022 Cr versus ₹113 Cr in FY25
  • Standalone PAT ₹1,931 Cr versus ₹51 Cr
  • FY26 GRM around $9.22 per barrel
  • ₹4 per share dividend declared

  • This shows how strongly MRPL’s profitability can respond when refining margins improve.


    BIG POINT TO WATCH ⚠️


    MRPL is not a conventional steady earnings compounder.


    Its profitability is highly dependent on:


    📌 Gross refining margins

    📌 Crude oil prices

    📌 Product cracks

    📌 Refinery utilisation

    📌 Inventory gains or losses

    📌 Global refining capacity and demand


    We saw this clearly in FY25, when weaker GRMs resulted in PAT of only around ₹51 Cr, compared with ₹1,931 Cr in FY26.


    Growth / Earnings Triggers 🚀


  • Higher refinery utilisation
  • Strong diesel and gasoline cracks
  • Better GRMs
  • Higher export opportunities
  • Petrochemical integration
  • Strong domestic fuel demand
  • Efficient crude sourcing and product mix

  • MRPL also achieved record domestic HSD and MS dispatches during FY26, while product exports reached a record 723.2 TMT in September 2025.


    What I’m Watching:


    The biggest question is whether refining margins remain supportive.


    Q1 PAT looks very strong, but the exceptional income means I would not simply annualise ₹946 Cr and assume the same earnings every quarter.


    I would track:


  • GRM per barrel
  • Throughput and utilisation
  • Operating profit excluding exceptional items
  • Inventory gains or losses
  • Crude differentials
  • Debt and interest costs
  • Petrochemical contribution

  • Overall View:


    MRPL is an interesting refining cycle + petrochemicals + ONGC backed energy infrastructure story.


    The FY26 recovery and Q1 FY27 turnaround show significant earnings leverage when refining conditions are favourable.


    But the key distinction is that MRPL’s earnings are cyclical. Sustained GRMs and operating performance matter much more than one exceptionally strong quarter.


    Technical Setup:

    👉 Refer to the chart for my technical levels, support/resistance zones and price action view.


    Disclaimer: Educational content only. Not investment advice. Please do your own research.

    Live Target Updates & Tracking Timeline
    175++ 💰🚀 (12.9%) 29 Sep 2026, 12:30 PM
    180++ 💰🚀 (16.1%) 30 Sep 2026, 09:31 AM
    185++ 💰🚀 (19.4%) First Target Hit 14 Oct 2026, 12:19 PM
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